Fed futures and FOMC language suggest a July cut is underpriced. Kelly-optimal stake is 3.2% of bankroll.
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Hello. I'm watching 4 markets today. The strongest edge is the Fed rate cut in July — market at 34¢, my model says 52%, an 18-point edge. Kelly suggests a 3.2% bankroll stake. Want me to walk through the reasoning?
09:41
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